March 2 2018 image description
by: jmhumire 0 Comments

Mexico’s Elections Matter to the U.S. and China

Fernando Menéndez remarks on Tillerson’s recent trip to Latin America, the upcoming election in Mexico, and the future of US-Mexican relations in his latest article for China-US Focus.

Tillerson’s trip highlighted a few important things. The “first is the upcoming election in Mexico which, contrary to the prevailing winds, may place a hostile, anti-U.S. demagogue at the head of the U.S.’s largest trade partner south of the border.”

This demagogue is “front-runner, former Mexico City mayor Andrés Manuel López Obrador (known as AMLO), an admirer of the Cuban and Venezuelan revolutions with a long history of demonstrated support for other leftist and populist causes. 

 Tillerson’s trip also stressed the “long-term issue [of] the growing presence and influence of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) in the hemisphere via economic opportunities. President López Obrador may take a page from the populist playbook by opening a wider door to China as a counterweight to the U.S. in Mexico and raising tensions further.”

This election comes at a time when the relationship between the United States and Mexico is deteriorating, giving Mexico and China the opportunity to recalculate theirs.


Read the full article at China-US Focus, here.

June 28 2017 image description
by: jmhumire 0 Comments

How a Change in U.S.-Cuba Policy Could Affect Chinese FDI

When Barack Obama announced the U.S. normalization of relations with Cuba back in December of 2014, the floodgates of expectation and conjecture were opened with abandon. Many believing it would bring a measure of prosperity to the broken Cuban economy. After nearly six decades of a contentious and frenzied relationship, it was inferred that a new policy of “engagement” would open Cuba up to American trade and travel, while the administration suggested this new policy would lead to improved human rights in the communist island. Instead, the government of Raúl Castro ratcheted up the number of arrests for “political crimes,” filling Cuban jails with dissidents and other opponents, while clamping down on talk of reforms. Internationally, Cuba doubled-down on its support for the catastrophic Maduro government in Venezuela, and continued to associate closely with the murderous regimes in Iran, Syria and North Korea.

During his campaign for president, Donald Trump, as well as other Republican candidates, criticized the Obama policy as tantamount to appeasing and making one-sided concessions to the Cuban government. Trump promised a reversal and was strident in his criticism upon the death of Cuba’s long-team leader Fidel Castro in November 2016.